Article
November 13, 2024

Decoupling business growth from emissions

Decoupling economic growth from emissions is becoming an essential concept for sustainable business. For investors, it is an opportunity to support growth aligned with environmental resilience.

Decoupling business growth from emissions

The 2024 Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) Synthesis Report from UN Climate Change, along with COP29, brings urgent attention to the need for emissions reductions to meet the Paris Agreement goals. Investors should be aware of decoupling economic growth from emissions - where economic expansion is achieved without a corresponding increase in greenhouse gases. This decoupling approach, at the heart of sustainable transition strategies, presents a clear course for investors to support companies committed to growth without increased environmental impact. It is not only about climate action but about building resilience in the face of environmental risks and shifting regulations.

Decoupling and the sustainable transition

Decoupling represents a significant shift in how companies and economies can achieve growth. Historically, economic progress has been tightly coupled with emissions due to fossil fuel reliance, industrial expansion, and resource-intensive practices. However, technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and growing public support for climate action are beginning to unravel this relationship, creating a unique space for investors who recognise that economic strength and environmental responsibility are no longer at odds.

"One of the biggest mental obstacles to adopting aggressive emissions reduction goals is a perceived conflict between business growth and emissions reduction." World Economic Forum

In decoupling, growth is fueled by clean energy, resource efficiency, and innovative technologies, enabling companies and economies to reduce their carbon footprint while still expanding.For investors, this offers a strategic way to support businesses that are adaptable to both environmental challenges and a future where low-carbon solutions will be essential.

Why decoupling matters for investors

Decoupling brings multiple advantages that align with investor goals, especially as climate risks and regulatory changes intensify. Some key reasons why decoupling is becoming a consideration for investors are:

  • Managing climate-related financial risks: Climate change increases physical and transitional risks, from extreme weather disruptions to regulatory costs. Companies committed to decoupling tend to better manage these risks, enhancing resilience and protecting long-term value.
  • Meeting investor demand:With rising interest in sustainable investments, companies focusing on decoupling align with ESG principles, attracting capital and strengthening their reputations.
  • Fostering innovation and growth: Decoupling drives advancements in clean technologies, renewable energy, and energy-efficient practices, creating a competitive advantage.
  • Navigating regulatory landscapes: Stricter emissions policies worldwide increase costs and risks for companies lagging in decoupling, while those embracing low-carbon practices are better positioned to comply and reduce exposure.

 

Emissions-to-GDP: One measure of low-carbon progress

The emissions-to-GDP ratio is one way to assess how economies or companies are advancing in their low-carbon transitions. This ratio provides insight into how efficiently an economy or organisation produces economic output relative to its emissions. For investors, a declining emissions-to-GDP ratio can indicate a move towards reducing emissions alongside growth, reflecting progress toward decoupling.

While not the only indicator, this metric can help investors identify regions and sectors where resource efficiency, cleaner technologies, and renewable energy adoption are supporting a transition to lower emissions.

Understanding the drivers of decoupling

Successful decoupling relies on a variety of factors that enable growth to happen alongside emissions reductions. Investors who understand these drivers can better identify opportunities in companies and sectors most likely to achieve and sustain decoupling. Some of these factors include:

  • Technological advancements: Clean energy technologies, electrification, and digitalisation are helping companies produce more with less energy and emissions. Improvements in energy efficiency, such as reduced energy intensity (energy used per unit of GDP), are also significant contributors to decoupling.
  • Policy interventions: Government incentives for renewable energy, energy efficiency standards, and environmental regulations create an enabling environment for decoupling. These policies reduce the cost barriers for companies to transition to low-carbon practices and encourage innovation in low-emission technologies.
  • Economic structure: Economies with a greater focus on services rather than heavy industry tend to have lower emissions-to-GDP ratios. This structural shift contributes to decoupling by reducing the energy and emissions intensity of economic output.
  • Circular economy practices: By reusing, recycling, and repurposing resources, companies are reducing the environmental impact of  production and waste. These practices help companies align with decoupling goals by creating value through resource efficiency.

 

 

Insights from COP29 andthe 2024 NDC report: Moving towards decoupling at scale

The 2024 NDC Synthesis Report and the progress of COP29 underscore the necessity of broad, systematic changes to achieve a low-carbon economy. To create the necessary impact, decoupling could become a central strategy in both national climate plans and investment frameworks, with support for policies that enhance low-carbon technologies and scalable decoupling initiatives. These milestones offer a trajectory for transforming pledges into tangible impact, expediting the shift to economies where growth can occur without an equal rise in emissions.

Evaluating future climate plans: The ABC approach

To ensure future climate plans can create meaningful impact, the NDC report recommends an “ABC”approach:

  • Ambition: Climate plans must include strong, economy-wide targets for reducing emissions across all greenhouse gases, aiming to keep the 1.5°C target within reach.
  • Breakdown: Plans should specify targets by sector and type of gas, providing clarity on how each part of the economy contributes to overall emissions reductions.
  • Credibility: Goals need to be backed by enforceable policies, regulations, and funding to ensure implementation and accountability.

Adaptation and finance are also key elements of these plans. Nations must prioritise investments that protect communities and infrastructure from climate impacts, while aligning NDCs with National Adaptation Plans and expanding financial support for vulnerable countries.

Investors as catalysts for systemic change

Investors play a crucial role for decoupling, as their decisions can drive momentum for low-carbon practices across sectors and regions. By supporting companies committed to decoupling, investors could contribute to the systemic shift needed to reach global climate targets. Investing in decoupling not only aligns with sustainable growth longer term, but could also contribute to increased resilience, cost efficiency, and a reduced environmental footprint.

Publication Details

Author: Matter

Date: November 13, 2024

Author

Matter

Decoupling business growth from emissions

The 2024 Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) Synthesis Report from UN Climate Change, along with COP29, brings urgent attention to the need for emissions reductions to meet the Paris Agreement goals. Investors should be aware of decoupling economic growth from emissions - where economic expansion is achieved without a corresponding increase in greenhouse gases. This decoupling approach, at the heart of sustainable transition strategies, presents a clear course for investors to support companies committed to growth without increased environmental impact. It is not only about climate action but about building resilience in the face of environmental risks and shifting regulations.

Decoupling and the sustainable transition

Decoupling represents a significant shift in how companies and economies can achieve growth. Historically, economic progress has been tightly coupled with emissions due to fossil fuel reliance, industrial expansion, and resource-intensive practices. However, technological advancements, regulatory shifts, and growing public support for climate action are beginning to unravel this relationship, creating a unique space for investors who recognise that economic strength and environmental responsibility are no longer at odds.

"One of the biggest mental obstacles to adopting aggressive emissions reduction goals is a perceived conflict between business growth and emissions reduction." World Economic Forum

In decoupling, growth is fueled by clean energy, resource efficiency, and innovative technologies, enabling companies and economies to reduce their carbon footprint while still expanding.For investors, this offers a strategic way to support businesses that are adaptable to both environmental challenges and a future where low-carbon solutions will be essential.

Why decoupling matters for investors

Decoupling brings multiple advantages that align with investor goals, especially as climate risks and regulatory changes intensify. Some key reasons why decoupling is becoming a consideration for investors are:

  • Managing climate-related financial risks: Climate change increases physical and transitional risks, from extreme weather disruptions to regulatory costs. Companies committed to decoupling tend to better manage these risks, enhancing resilience and protecting long-term value.
  • Meeting investor demand:With rising interest in sustainable investments, companies focusing on decoupling align with ESG principles, attracting capital and strengthening their reputations.
  • Fostering innovation and growth: Decoupling drives advancements in clean technologies, renewable energy, and energy-efficient practices, creating a competitive advantage.
  • Navigating regulatory landscapes: Stricter emissions policies worldwide increase costs and risks for companies lagging in decoupling, while those embracing low-carbon practices are better positioned to comply and reduce exposure.

 

Emissions-to-GDP: One measure of low-carbon progress

The emissions-to-GDP ratio is one way to assess how economies or companies are advancing in their low-carbon transitions. This ratio provides insight into how efficiently an economy or organisation produces economic output relative to its emissions. For investors, a declining emissions-to-GDP ratio can indicate a move towards reducing emissions alongside growth, reflecting progress toward decoupling.

While not the only indicator, this metric can help investors identify regions and sectors where resource efficiency, cleaner technologies, and renewable energy adoption are supporting a transition to lower emissions.

Understanding the drivers of decoupling

Successful decoupling relies on a variety of factors that enable growth to happen alongside emissions reductions. Investors who understand these drivers can better identify opportunities in companies and sectors most likely to achieve and sustain decoupling. Some of these factors include:

  • Technological advancements: Clean energy technologies, electrification, and digitalisation are helping companies produce more with less energy and emissions. Improvements in energy efficiency, such as reduced energy intensity (energy used per unit of GDP), are also significant contributors to decoupling.
  • Policy interventions: Government incentives for renewable energy, energy efficiency standards, and environmental regulations create an enabling environment for decoupling. These policies reduce the cost barriers for companies to transition to low-carbon practices and encourage innovation in low-emission technologies.
  • Economic structure: Economies with a greater focus on services rather than heavy industry tend to have lower emissions-to-GDP ratios. This structural shift contributes to decoupling by reducing the energy and emissions intensity of economic output.
  • Circular economy practices: By reusing, recycling, and repurposing resources, companies are reducing the environmental impact of  production and waste. These practices help companies align with decoupling goals by creating value through resource efficiency.

 

 

Insights from COP29 andthe 2024 NDC report: Moving towards decoupling at scale

The 2024 NDC Synthesis Report and the progress of COP29 underscore the necessity of broad, systematic changes to achieve a low-carbon economy. To create the necessary impact, decoupling could become a central strategy in both national climate plans and investment frameworks, with support for policies that enhance low-carbon technologies and scalable decoupling initiatives. These milestones offer a trajectory for transforming pledges into tangible impact, expediting the shift to economies where growth can occur without an equal rise in emissions.

Evaluating future climate plans: The ABC approach

To ensure future climate plans can create meaningful impact, the NDC report recommends an “ABC”approach:

  • Ambition: Climate plans must include strong, economy-wide targets for reducing emissions across all greenhouse gases, aiming to keep the 1.5°C target within reach.
  • Breakdown: Plans should specify targets by sector and type of gas, providing clarity on how each part of the economy contributes to overall emissions reductions.
  • Credibility: Goals need to be backed by enforceable policies, regulations, and funding to ensure implementation and accountability.

Adaptation and finance are also key elements of these plans. Nations must prioritise investments that protect communities and infrastructure from climate impacts, while aligning NDCs with National Adaptation Plans and expanding financial support for vulnerable countries.

Investors as catalysts for systemic change

Investors play a crucial role for decoupling, as their decisions can drive momentum for low-carbon practices across sectors and regions. By supporting companies committed to decoupling, investors could contribute to the systemic shift needed to reach global climate targets. Investing in decoupling not only aligns with sustainable growth longer term, but could also contribute to increased resilience, cost efficiency, and a reduced environmental footprint.

Publication Details

Author: Matter

Date: November 13, 2024

Highlights

Talk to us